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ICT predictions

Posted: Sun Mar 06, 2005 4:03 am
by Chris Frankel
All the acceptances are in, so I figure I'd start a prediction thread for fun. I'm basing this on my knowledge of the final bid list and on who will/won't be playing for certain teams, so obviously this should be based on who's actually coming as opposed to how you voted in the poll. Also I based my predictions based on my impressions/knowledges of how certain teams/players tended to do on NAQT as opposed to ACF.

For instance, Subash won't be with Chicago, I won't be playing with Princeton, Scott Francis and Charles Meigs are abroad and not playing in anything this semester, etc. If you have relevant information about the composition of other teams (e.g. whether Dom is on Illinois, who Berkeley, Michigan B, and Chicago B are sending, etc, or just your own team roster,) feel free to mention them. On that note, Princeton's team will be Lenny Kostovetsky, Jordan Boyd-Graber, Dan Benediktson, and Brad Klein, so no UG qualification.

That said:

D1 predictions:
1. Michigan A
2. Chicago A
3. Berkeley
4. Illinois A
5. Rochester
6. VCU/Weiner (UG)
7. Harvard (UG)
8. Stanford
9. UCLA
10. Michigan B if they keep the same team from SCT, maybe South Florida if they put their best possible team in, otherwise I'll guess Yale.

D1 UG predictions:
1. VCU/Weiner
2. Harvard
3. Chicago B (assuming they do it that way)

D2 predictions:
1. Michigan
2. Virginia, assuming a full strength D2 team
3. Swarthmore
4. Texas
5. Harding

I (or someone else) can start another thread like this for ACF once the field becomes clearer.

Posted: Sun Mar 06, 2005 1:21 pm
by Skepticism and Animal Feed
I don't believe that Chicago B will be eligible for UG, as that team now contains David Press.

predictions

Posted: Sun Mar 06, 2005 3:17 pm
by your mom
DI
1) Michigan A
2) Chicago A
3) Rochester A
4) Berkeley
5) Illinois

DI Undergrad
1) VCU

DII
1) Michigan
2) Swarthmore
3) Chicago
4) Texas
5) Virginia
6) Harding

What about top scorers?

Posted: Sun Mar 06, 2005 5:57 pm
by ezubaric
This might be the product of getting squashed by Berkeley for four years, but I think that they are being seriously underranked. A team of Jeff, David, Jerry, and either Paul or Brendan would be a serious contender for the top spot. I suppose it all comes down to rosters, but I would be very shocked if Berkeley did any worse than 3rd.

Given the depth and variability of very deep bench schools (Chicago, Michigan, Berkeley), I'd say that prognostication of the top spot is a little premature. Can anyone involved share expected rosters?

Posted: Sun Mar 06, 2005 6:12 pm
by zotlbusy
Is there a reason for everyone to be picking Michigan over Chicago, after Chicago beat Michigan in their sectional? Just based on the regional outcomes, it looks like Michigan should be favored over Chicago on ACF, while Chicago looks better than Michigan on NAQT. Those two schools and Berkeley are in my top three for both formats, but I have no idea which will win.

Posted: Sun Mar 06, 2005 7:58 pm
by setht
Chicago's A team will be the same one from Sectionals.

-Seth

Posted: Mon Mar 07, 2005 12:13 am
by No Sollositing On Premise
Virginia's D2 team is an interesting situation. We're playing our best freshman D1 if he decides to attend (he was D1's leading scorer at Sectionals), and hopefully expanding our barely-qualifying D2 team to four players for the big trip (only two of us could go to Sectionals, and we were at our streakiest). Alas, we're a real question mark. Here's my predictions:

D1
1. Chicago A
2. Michigan A
3. Berkeley
4. Illlinois
5. Rochester

D1 U
1. VCU (Weiner and friend)
2. Harvard
3-whatever. God only knows

D2
1. Swarthmore
2. Michigan (who is on this team, exactly?)
3. WashU
4. Florida
5. Virginia

That's funny. TJ and Gov grads lead all of my top picks. Coincidence? Perhaps... :roll:

Posted: Mon Mar 07, 2005 1:22 am
by suds1000
To respond to any rumors that may have surfaced, the Illinois team at ICT will consist of myself (Sudheer Potru), Mike Sorice, Dave Kiang, and Dom Ricci, so we will not be eligible for the undergraduate title. Three-quarters of that team will also be playing at ACF Nationals, as the only change is that Kelly Tourdot (for those who don't recognize the name, she'll be the one beating you to every visual art question) will replace Dave.

Trying to pick overall order of finish in Division I is pretty tough at this point, just because NAQT questions can vary so much. All I know is that the top five teams will include Michigan, Chicago, Berkeley, Illinois, and Rochester (if they bring everyone, which I imagine they will). Yale, Weiner, and Harvard will round out the top playoff bracket, and Weiner will win the undergraduate title over Harvard. I'm going to pick Michigan to beat Harding in Division II due to more total powers and higher bonus conversion (albeit not by much).

Should be an awesome tournament.

Posted: Mon Mar 07, 2005 2:24 am
by Matt Weiner
I have no particular idea whether I'm going to win the undergraduate title or not, but I'd like to know if people have actual information on the tournament format or if it's just speculation/induction from past years. I seem to have the number six in my head for the number of teams that remain in the championship bracket going into Saturday afternoon under the format used recently, yet I've seen people naming eight for that. Any info I've missed here?

Posted: Mon Mar 07, 2005 2:46 am
by UFeng
There were eight in the championship bracket- the results from last year's NAQT nationals seem to support that.

http://www.naqt.com/Results/2004-ict-di ... dings.html

Posted: Mon Mar 07, 2005 1:09 pm
by suds1000
Actually, reading Frankel's original post, I'm now very curious to know who will be on Berkeley's team at ICT. If anyone knows, hearing it would be great.

Also, Frankel, are you coming up for ACF Nationals?

Posted: Mon Mar 07, 2005 1:16 pm
by grapesmoker
suds1000 wrote:Actually, reading Frankel's original post, I'm now very curious to know who will be on Berkeley's team at ICT. If anyone knows, hearing it would be great.
The Berkeley team will consist of Paul Lujan, Kenny Easwaran, David Farris, and myself. Regretably, due to financial and time concerns, Jeff Hoppes was not able to make ICT this year, but he will be coming to ACF Nationals. That team comprise Jeff, Kenny, Ray Luo, and myself.

Jerry

Posted: Mon Mar 07, 2005 2:36 pm
by wturner
I think Michigan's D2 team will be myself (Will Turner), Dave Rappaport, Nupur Lala, and Brad Lubin.

Posted: Mon Mar 07, 2005 5:50 pm
by Mr. Kwalter
From what I've seen of the teams/rosters and the stats my predictions for ICT are:

D1 -

1. Chicago A
2. Michigan A
3. Illinois A
4. Berkeley
5. Rochester


D1 UG -

1. Weiner
2. Harvard

D2 -

1. Michigan
2. Swarthmore
3. Texas
4. Virginia
5. Harding

Posted: Mon Mar 21, 2005 6:16 am
by biggreen
NAQT has posted individual results for this year's SCT.